Forecasted Questions
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 13, 2024 07:10PM UTC
(5 days ago)
May 13, 2024 07:10PM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 100% | May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | 98% | +2% | +0% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 13, 2024 07:10PM UTC
(5 days ago)
May 13, 2024 07:10PM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 3% | 8% | -5% | +0% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 10% | 11% | -1% | +0% |