51st
Accuracy Rank

Yifan

About:
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-0.067952

Relative Brier Score

203

Forecasts

4

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 18 377 203 607
Comments 0 0 6 3 28
Questions Forecasted 0 18 89 55 129
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 14 4 20
 Definitions
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (-67%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Jul 24, 2024
97% (+67%)
No
Jun 24, 2024 to Jul 24, 2024

updated based on the most recent situation

Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
45%
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
40%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
15%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP

The integration of O-RAN Alliance specifications into 3GPP is a plausible future development but will likely occur gradually. There are only 2.5 more years left until 1 January 2027. I need more research on this topic before making any further forecasts. 

Files
New Prediction

As of now, Huawei has not announced specific plans to sell Open RAN equipment. Open RAN represents a shift towards more open, interoperable network solutions, which contrasts with the integrated, end-to-end systems that companies like Huawei have historically provided. Huawei has traditionally focused on developing its proprietary RAN solutions. 



Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
99%
Yes
1%
No

i would say its 99% if not 100%; Nicolas Maduro takes control of Venezuela by force, just like the previous presidents. 

Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8% (0%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
92% (0%)
No
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (0%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
90% (0%)
No
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
95% (0%)
No
Jun 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Yifan
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
1% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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