A new blog post from RAND highlights how their researchers are using crowdsourced forecasting to augment traditional RAND expertise and analysis in their assessment of the potential that Israel may declare war on Hezbollah. The recently launched RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI) compared forecaster assessments of that likelihood with two researchers' analysis of the situation, revealing complementary results.
See what the RFI team found in comparing INFER community forecasts with those of RAND's senior researchers—and learn more about the plans to use crowdsourced forecasting on this case study and other sponsored research at RAND.
>> Contribute forecasts to help RAND researchers: Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?