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Definitions |
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/ident/default_avatars/level-1-1-b9c925ca8bbd1b06f41ec78eecb73e098a6f1dc741c688684307fa6d59917c69.png)
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Less than 5%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 5% but less than 6%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 6%
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
In 3Q 2022 or 4Q 2022
0%
(0%)
In 1Q 2023 or 2Q 2023
0%
(0%)
In 3Q 2023 or 4Q 2023
100%
(0%)
Not before 1Q 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 5%
0%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 6%
0%
More than or equal to 6%
Electromobility technology is improving largely.
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Less than 20%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
In 3Q 2022 or 4Q 2022
0%
(0%)
In 1Q 2023 or 2Q 2023
0%
(0%)
In 3Q 2023 or 4Q 2023
100%
(0%)
Not before 1Q 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Less than 20%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
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