I think state department will lead to two state solution and it will tamper it
0.305528
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 38 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 29, 2024 11:02PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
(-19%)
Yes
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024
80%
(+19%)
No
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I could be early with prediction but not wrong
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 30, 2024 06:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39%
(0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
61%
(0%)
No
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Yes because last thing Arab leaders outside of Iran and their western ally after the challenges in Israel want is a war in Middle East which can't be won for long time
Why might you be wrong?
It could be delayed