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143rd
Accuracy Rank

Aadebamiwa77

Abidemi Adebamiwa
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2024 Season Stats

1.99223

Relative Brier Score

259

Forecasts

6

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 37 347 259 780
Comments 0 0 3 3 61
Questions Forecasted 0 37 74 57 145
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 4 9 6 25
 Definitions
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Power Forecaster - Aug 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 2nd forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
4% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
4% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
1% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 4th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7% (0%)
Yes
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
93% (0%)
No
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 9th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8% (0%)
Yes
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
92% (0%)
No
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 6th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Sep 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2025
98% (0%)
No
Sep 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 8th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
16% (0%)
Yes
Sep 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2025
84% (0%)
No
Sep 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Aadebamiwa77 made their 10th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
4% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
35% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
6% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
55% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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