SPECIAL NOTICE: As part of
RAND's sponsorship
, INFER will now be the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Rebranding will be in progress over the next couple days.
Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Sign Up
Sign In
« Back to topics
Iran: Threats & Influence
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
(1 year)
Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
All
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Iran Nuclear Program (11)
only
Iran-VNSAs (8)
only
Mission: Diplomacy (2)
only
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
88
·
391
4%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
466
0%
Chance
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel